Karlinsey Research Blog

Coordinating Research Efforts

Archive for November, 2008

Off the beaten track

without comments

More than a couple times I have found contradictions in various documents. Today, I found this interesting piece of information from a handout used in the  Boise Family History Conference by by Gene F. Williams, CGSM. I thought that it would be useful in evaluating contradictions found during research:

Resolve contradictions and base your problem- solving proof conclusion on the sum of the evidence from all the records you found. Test it against these Levels of Confidence:

Certainly – No reasonable doubt based on sound research and good evidence

Probably – More likely than not based on sound research and good evidence

Possibly – Evidence supports the assertion, but assertion is far from proved

Likely – Odds weight slightly in favor of the assertion

Apparently – Formed an impression based on common information

Perhaps – Suggests an idea that is plausible, but remains to be tested

Written by Ian Karlinsey

November 3rd, 2008 at 5:02 pm